Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.039797e+00 1.296780 1.580867 1.915248 2.295106 2.710397 3.195904
2025-06-01 7.274706e-01 1.071874 1.493346 2.033615 2.694498 3.464069 4.415188
2025-06-08 4.848451e-01 0.854605 1.356455 2.053233 2.962441 4.077631 5.517340
2025-06-15 3.580470e-01 0.747987 1.328726 2.190327 3.372888 4.880707 6.889291
2025-06-22 2.561323e-01 0.642216 1.274081 2.272270 3.705997 5.596443 8.181946
2025-06-29 1.765630e-01 0.542000 1.201880 2.309934 3.969931 6.225500 9.382130
2025-07-06 1.106044e-01 0.435458 1.091895 2.268052 4.106940 6.680349 10.362030
2025-07-13 7.316991e-02 0.370033 1.035908 2.297704 4.341275 7.269521 11.531964
2025-07-20 4.655729e-02 0.313372 0.980917 2.317062 4.553916 7.829247 12.671718
2025-07-27 2.509955e-02 0.250046 0.893546 2.264521 4.644378 8.210479 13.569601
2025-08-03 1.217907e-02 0.198615 0.815453 2.214493 4.729090 8.579402 14.453203
2025-08-10 6.002562e-03 0.166793 0.774108 2.226432 4.911804 9.094908 15.551995
2025-08-17 1.835987e-03 0.128819 0.703180 2.171679 4.982011 9.450111 16.442929
2025-08-24 7.959028e-04 0.117720 0.707520 2.273915 5.328840 10.239633 17.982045
2025-08-31 1.199883e-04 0.096546 0.670593 2.281193 5.506815 10.771540 19.155920
2025-09-07 2.537659e-05 0.092420 0.691960 2.420897 5.928610 11.695822 20.924635
2025-09-14 3.393514e-08 0.082967 0.689496 2.504604 6.250756 12.469360 22.482892
2025-09-21 NaN 0.070582 0.669134 2.542743 6.488881 13.113363 23.858130
2025-09-28 NaN 0.053691 0.617650 2.496919 6.564760 13.495986 24.846029
2025-10-05 NaN 0.044785 0.598133 2.528013 6.786936 14.119304 26.205427
2025-10-12 NaN 0.036618 0.575988 2.548379 6.987225 14.708965 27.520280
2025-10-19 NaN 0.026227 0.528456 2.492132 7.031566 15.039489 28.442165
2025-10-26 NaN 0.018257 0.484930 2.438622 7.076075 15.368533 29.364255